From the category archives:

Market Updates

At the top of the Twin Cities real estate market, the selling isn’t easy – Featured article

Below is snippet of my feature in the Star Tribune.

Jennifer Kirby, luxury real estate agent

If you think it’s tough to find a buyer for grandma’s silver and the family china, imagine trying to unload an expensive old house with a butler’s pantry and a foyer too fancy for muddy boots and dirty dogs.

For five years, Mark Perrin has been trying to sell one of the most beautiful houses in Minneapolis, a 10,000-square-foot mansion on Mount Curve Avenue. It is now priced at $3.1 million, half his original asking price and below what he paid for it.

“It boggles my mind,” Perrin said. “You get to the point where it just gets silly.”

More homes changed hands in the Twin Cities this year than ever before, and transactions of $1 million and more also set records. But at that exclusive level — the homes most people can only dream about — something is changing: Houses that couldn’t be replicated today are sitting unsold as well-to-do buyers seek technology over turrets and perfection over patina….

…Jennifer Kirby, the agent who has the Perrin listing, said that selling a house in Minneapolis can be challenging because there’s a perception that when you factor in property taxes and lot sizes, you get a better value in the suburbs. Of the 22 houses that have sold for more than $3 million in the Twin Cities so far this year, 19 have been on Lake Minnetonka.

 “Even rich people care about their money,” Kirby said. “There are plenty of people who have the money, but we’re competing with Lake Minnetonka.”

0 comments

State of the Luxury Home Market – Twin Cities

State of the Twin Cities Luxury Home Market

I thought it would be interesting to compare the current Spring real estate market for luxury homes in the Twin Cities to the last couple of years, and see if things have improved at all. The news is constantly stating that the Minnesota real estate market is roaring back to life, what with our shortage of inventory and less buyer fear, but can the same be said about the luxury market?

Days on the Market

Back in 2010, the rug was pulled out from under the luxury real estate market and it seemed to take forever for a home to sell. The average Days on the Market, what we real estate agents call DOM, was 212 – meaning that is took on average 212 days for a luxury home to sell.

Days on the Market 2010 Twin Cities Luxury Homes Days on the Market 2010

Now, look at March 2012 and the numbers get better. The average number of days drops to 170!

Day on Market Luxury Homes Twin Cities Spring 2012 Days on the Market 2012

For April 2013, the number drops to 148!

Luxury Home Days on the Market 2013 Twin Cities Days on the Market 2013

Inventory

Inventory is often one of the deciding factors on how a real estate market will perform. Too much inventory and few buyers makes for a terrible market. In 2010, sellers were scared and wanted to get out of their expensive homes. Buyers however were very worried and became hesitant if not completely shut off from buying a new home. No other inventory in the Twin Cities felt this more than the luxury home market, starting at about 685 homes for sale in Spring 2010 and roaring to 925 in the Fall.

Minneapolis St Paul Luxury Home Market Inventory 2010 Inventory 2010

Spring 2011 started off with 653 homes on the market and increased to around 836 by September, however when Spring 2012 hit, less homes were being offered for sale – coming in at around 620.

Twin Cities Luxury Home Inventory Spring 2012 Inventory 2012

Once Fall 2012 came around, only 708  homes were for sale. That’s a 15.3% decrease from 2011!  Of course now that Spring 2013 is here, I know the market inventory is low simply by trying to find homes my clients might like. We can’t find any! That’s because there are only currently about 430 luxury homes on the market. When compared to 2010, we quickly see that the Twin Cities Spring luxury inventory has decreased by 37%!

Twin Cities Luxury Real Estate Inventory Spring2013 Inventory 2013

Average Price

Starting in late 2009, the luxury home market started to be affected by the economy, and prices started a slow decline over the next year. By August 2010, average prices began a rapid decline making 2011 a terrible year to sell an upper bracket home in the Twin Cities. Homes that once held a value well over $1 Million, were now selling for $700-800K. Foreclosures and short sales became more prevalent, as home owners found themselves underwater and unable to afford their castles.

Twin Cities Luxury Home Average Price 2010 Average Price 2010

By Spring 2012, home values were at their lowest, only bringing in an average of around $675,000, but every cloud has a silver lining. Over the last year, the average price of a luxury home has been steadily increasing, and we are now back at 2009 pricing.

Twin Cities Luxury Homes Average Price 2013

What Does It All Mean?

Wow, what a difference a few years make! While the numbers look to tell a great story, it is still a cautious time. Home owners are not listing as many homes, thus giving buyers less choices. This helps prop up the market with homes selling quicker, but buyers are still afraid of paying too much for a home. Most of the buyers I encounter refuse to pay list price, and they also want to see the price of similar homes that have sold in the area in order to justify their offers.

The most interesting information in the report, in my opinion, is not the average price number, but the graph direction in general. Looking at 2010, the graph line is going down. But take a look at what has been happening since May 2012. The graph direction is going up, as if it is trying to claw its way out of the abyss. Let’s pray it keeps going up!

0 comments

Most Recent High-end Homes for Sale in Saint Paul

For a real estate agent, seeing what is new on the market each day can be quite exciting. You just never know what is going up for sale! Here is a list of the most recent homes above $500,000 to hit the St. Paul market.

If you are looking in the St. Paul area for a home, or thinking of selling your current residence, please contact me.

[idx-listings city=”St. Paul” minprice=”500000″ propertytypes=”773″ orderby=”DateAdded” orderdir=”DESC” count=”10″ showlargerphotos=”true”]

0 comments

Twin Cities Luxury Home Market Update Spring 2012

The luxury home market in the Twin Cities has taken quite a beating the last couple of years. Home values have plummeted, putting what were once million dollar homes into lower price ranges. For some home owners who bought 2005-2008, the news has been less than welcome, even devastating. Foreclosure was inevitable for a few, other have been able to refinance. But one thing I have learned from speaking to luxury home owners, they are taking it all in stride and working with the cards they have been dealt.

Currently the inventory of luxury homes has been dwindling across the Metro, good news for home sellers. Less inventory means less choices for buyers, and gives sellers a better chance of selling their home.  In Spring 2010, there were about 680 available homes for sale. Two years later, that number is down to around 615. As is typical for real estate in Minnesota, home inventory increases over the summer months, topping out in August and September. It will be interesting to see how the summer progresses and if the overall inventory remains low.

When it comes to how long a luxury home takes to sell in the Twin Cities, real estate agents turn to Days on the Market data. With Spring comes buyers. After waiting through the winter, they come out from the shadows and pluck down money for luxury homes. For reasons you can imagine here in Minnesota, it typically takes longer to sell in the winter. Starting this Spring 2012, the days it takes a luxury home to sell hovers around 170 days. While this may not sound like good news, when you compare it to Spring 2010 which hovered around 235 days, our current real estate market it doing quite well. I am pretty sure home owners would like 2012 market trends over two years ago!

If you are thinking of selling and would like a free micro analysis of your home in today’s market, please contact me!

(Data is comprised from top 10 most expensive zip codes in Minneapolis, St. Paul, Lake Minnetonka, and  surrounding Twin Cities Metro areas, using homes priced above $500,000)

0 comments

Monthly Twin Cities Market Update Video

0 comments

Twin Cities Monthly Report – April

0 comments

2010 Year End Twin Cities Market Report

The 2010 Twin Cities Real Estate Report was recently released by the Minneapolis Association of Realtors and has some fantastic data on what has been happening over the past years in the surrounding 13 county area. While this is a general overview of all real estate activity for 2010 and not a specific breakdown of the luxury home market, it provides some important insight on areas that do cater to the upper bracket real estate market.

New Listings

New listings have been decreasing over the past five years, which is really no surprise to anyone. What is interesting is that 2009 and 2010 are relatively the same for homes put on the market. I like the fact the report breaks down the top/bottom five markets for new listings. For the luxury home market, Victoria is number four for most new homes listed, and has seen a 13% increase in home prices over the last year.

2010 New Listings Real Estate Market Report

New Listing Data 2010

Closed Sales

For Closed Sales in 2010, the number one area for sold homes was Victoria, with Lake Minnetonka in fifth place. Victoria’s new home construction was probably a good reason for the top ranking for nearly 30% of its 2010 closed sales were due to new construction. Lake Minnetonka on the other hand saw almost 30% of its closed inventory as foreclosure or distressed properties. The desirable area coupled with lower home prices helped the Lake Minnetonka market have a better overall year than other Twin Cities areas.

 
2010 Twin Cities Real Estate Solds

Closed Sales Data 2010

Days on the Market

 One of the most important pieces of date to relay to home owners is the number of days it might take to sell their home. Known to agents as DOM, the Days on the Market helps us understand exactly what a local real estate market is doing. As you can see, when the market tanked in 2008, DOM increased dramatically. Since then, homes have been slowly seeing that time frame decline – a good thing for the overall market. Areas of Minneapolis found themselves having the shortest days to sell, most likely due to the shear volume of foreclosures in those areas. The “North” area of Minneapolis alone had 60% of its sold volume in 2010 as distressed/foreclosed properties.

Days on the Market for Twin Cities Home Sales 2010

2010 Days on the Market

If you would like to learn how your local real estate market performed in 2010, please feel free to send me an email!

0 comments

Luxury Home Financing Update for the Twin Cities

A few months ago I reported that financing for the upper bracket home market in Minneapolis and St. Paul was having some difficulties. Banks were being very cautious for million dollar loan requests, and the new norm for down payment was at least 30%.  The word of the day was “documentation”, and banks required a ton of it. Now it looks like banks might be easing up on luxury home buyers…well, maybe just a little bit.

According to Lisa Wells of Residential Mortgage Group, the luxury real estate market is getting a little easier to finance, but still remains cautious. She says, “Loan amounts for 1 million or less are pretty decent for interest rates and the underwriting process, but buyers still need 2 years of solid income and at least a 700 credit score rating.” It appears that a down payment of 20% is also OK, but if you want a better interest rate, than banks would like to see at least 25% down.

If you require a loan amount of over $ 1 Million, things will be a little bit different. Now two appraisals are required by the bank, with the lower of the two used for the loan.  The borrower must have at least 12 months of payments in the bank in a liquid reserve and ideally more, and of course a high credit score.  Ms. Wells says she has found that final loan approval in the million dollar plus market, even if the buyer meets all the requirements and guidelines, “is still left to the discretion of the Underwriter, and that she should have a very, very strong borrower with 35%-40% down.  The thought out there is the upper bracket market still might have some downward pressure, and therefore, anything with loan amounts of $1.5 Million or more is just hard”.

Home owners looking to sell this year should realize that there is a real obstacle with million dollar home financing, as buyers must be able to come up with the dough. Price is not always the reason for why your luxury home hasn’t sold – it could be the lack of qualified buyers. With the tougher rules in place for loan approval, sellers should require that all buyers be pre-approved. In this way, Twin Cities home owners can have a little bit of comfort that a financial capable borrower is knocking on their door.

0 comments

Basic Real Estate Update for the Twin Cities

If you would like to see a real estate “Skinny” on the general real estate market for the Twin Cities, watch the video produced by the Minneapolis Association of Realtors, with an overall view on the health of the entire market.

0 comments

Minneapolis-St. Paul Luxury Market Update

With winter quickly approaching in the Twin Cities, luxury home prices remain stagnant and overall continue to fall. Popular areas such as Edina and Lake Minnetonka are holding on, but as it happens ever year around this time, buyer activity decreases with the coming cold.

Luxury Home Market Twin Cities

Twin Cities Price

Inventory for upper bracket homes across the Metro area remain high as home sellers keep properties on the market in hopes of finding that one buyer who will purchase their home. Typically luxury inventory hits rock bottom around Christmas and New Years, as sellers concentrate on other things as buyer interest declines. As spring approaches, sellers get back on the selling wagon when buyers perk up from a winter of slush. With such a vast difference in locations across town, it is obvious that a micro analysis would need to be done for each specific city to see how the luxury market fares individually.

Minneapolis St Paul Luxury Home Market Inventory

Regional Inventory for Twin Cities

  But probably the second most important statistic for home owners, behind price, is the number of days it takes for a home to sell in today’s real estate market. Known as Days on the Market (DOM), luxury homes are seeing some good news! The average amount of time a luxury home sits on the market, that being for homes priced above $500,000, is steadily declining in the Twin Cities. Currently sitting around 140 days, the contributing factorsmost likely result from a declining of the number of  homes on the market (meaning less choices for buyers) and a decrease in overall prices.

Minneapolis St Paul Days on the Market Stats

Twin Cities Days on the Market Luxury Homes

 

If you are interested in a free micro market analysis of your home, please contact me !

0 comments

← Previous Entries